Uncertain future: Armed violence in southern Sudan
Sudan working paper 20
Claire Mc Evoy and Emile LeBrun | Small Arms Survey, Graduate Institute of International and Development | 2010
Country: Sudan
For the four-year-old Government of Southern Sudan, 2009 was a punishing
year. It struggled to manage multiple financial, governance, and security
crises while fighting for implementation of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement.
Looming large were CPA-mandated legislative and executive elections
scheduled for April 2010 and a referendum on Southern self-determination
in January 2011. For much of the year, tensions between the ruling National
Congress Party and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army were
high, with mutual recriminations over stalled aspects of the peace process.
Over the same period Southern Sudan experienced a wave of intense armed
violence that swept through rural areas. The violence was well organized,
involved multiple tribal groups, and exhibited a brutality not reported in
recent years. By the end of the year, some 2,500 Southerners had been killed
and 350,000 displaced, with no real progress made to address the conflicts.
This Working Paper focuses on the violence of 2009, including its root causes
and connections to political and power rivalries at the local and national
levels. It highlights current and probable future sources of insecurity as the
country moves to national elections and the referendum on Southern determination
and beyond.
download [pdf-file, 56 S., 764 KB]
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